[Linux-bruxelles] Re: Linux set for world domination

Marc HEERBRANT marc.heerbrant at wanadoo.be
Sam 25 Jan 17:57:57 CET 2003


> 
> Linux set for world domination
> 21-01-2003
> Peter Williams
> 
> (venant de:  http://www.vnunet.be/detalle.asp?
ids=/News/Ebusiness/Technology/20030121011
>  
> 
> Goldman Sachs report spells bad news for Microsoft and Unix. 
>  
>  
>  
> Linux will flourish at the expense of Windows and Unix, and Red Hat may win
> out 
> as the standard version of the open source operating system, according to 
> Goldman Sachs. 
> The investment bank's Fear the Penguin report said that Linux is now
> considered 
> enterprise-class. 
> 
> It warns that vendors need a clear Linux strategy for ongoing success, and 
> favours Red Hat over UnitedLinux in the race to become the 'standard' Linux.
> 
> 
> "Linux has evolved into an enterprise-class operating system," the report 
> said. "[But] the majority of corporations still appear to view Linux as a 
> nascent technology that is not yet enterprise-ready."
> 
> Goldman Sachs added that Linux would thwart Microsoft's efforts to move
> further 
> up the enterprise food chain.
> 
> "Although Windows is cited as the leading server operating system, it
> primarily 
> functions in the lower end of the server market," said the report.
> 
> With Windows remaining dominant at the low-end, including on the desktop, 
> Goldman Sachs said that the largest opportunity for Linux is for "servers on
> 
> which higher-end, mission critical enterprise applications and databases are
> 
> run". 
> 
> It quotes figures from analyst IDC showing Linux market share rising from 16
> to 
> 25.2 per cent over the next three years at the expense of all other server 
> operating systems.
> 
> And Goldman Sachs insisted that IT departments moving from Unix/Risc to Intel
> 
> would invariably choose Linux. "It is also possible that Linux could exert 
> pricing pressure on enterprise versions of Windows," it added.
> 
> Roger Whittaker, UK Unix User Group council member, and technical consultant
> at 
> UnitedLinux supplier SuSE, agreed with most of the findings. 
> 
> "SuSE is also seeing a move away from Microsoft, and there is serious
> interest 
> in a Linux desktop," he said.
> 
> Whittaker explained that SuSE's release of a Linux desktop during the next 
> quarter is in response to demand, and dismissed the report's view that "the 
> only viable pure-play Linux vendor is Red Hat". 
> 
> He pointed out that, while Red Hat is dominant in the US, it is not in
> Europe.
> 
> Because Linux source code is freely available, independent software vendors 
> have the opportunity to contribute to the operating system's development, 
> leading potentially to faster return on investment and faster functionality 
> increase, according to the report. 
> 
> Conversely, for vendors that 'lock-in' customers using the proprietary Unix 
> stacks, "a clear Linux strategy [is] becoming critical to ongoing success", 
> said Goldman Sachs.
>  
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 



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